iPhone Trade-in Vs. Brand Retention
Apple's Decline in Sales During Q1-Q2 2019 Visible as 15.2% Less Trade-In Savvy iPhones Owners Are Sticking With Apple, compared with CIRP's 2018 Activation Survey.
Since October 2018, iPhone trade-in site BankMyCell has been collecting data on the new device people have during the valuation and trade-in of their old iPhone. The result is a vast dataset of 38,043 individuals, providing insight into consumers upgrade cycle patterns and Apple’s brand loyalty during the online trade-in process.
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Key Stats: iPhone Retention
- 2019’s trade-in savvy iPhones owners are -15.2% less loyal than CIRP’s 2018 survey.
- iPhone brand retention the lowest it has been since 2011, compared to various studies.
- On average, 70.8% of iOS user’s remained with Apple during an iPhone trade-in from Q4’18 to Q2’19.
- Only 66.4% of iOS users trading in stayed with Apple during Q4 of 2018, following the release of the iPhone XR / XS range.
- The iPhone XS was in the bottom four devices for same brand upgrades, only 65.3% of users currently used an iPhone.
Key Stats: Apple VS Android
- In June 2019, 18.08% of people trading in iPhones had a Samsung device, the highest figure recorded in our study.
- 24.5% of individuals trading in iPhones during Q4 2018 had moved to a new brand; Samsung (13.8%), LG (8.2%) or Motorola (2.5%).
- On average, 12.4% of iPhone users jumped ship to Samsung, and 6.4% to LG smartphones from Q4’18 to Q2’19.
- 18.5% of people selling an iPhone XS had moved to Samsung – the most significant Apple to Samsung brand switch out of 16 phones.
- 26.2% of individuals trading in their iPhone X moved to another brand compared to only 7.7% of Galaxy S9 users switched to an iPhone, leaving 92.3% predominantly on Android.
EXPLORE THE REPORT FINDINGS BELOW
Historic iPhone Upgrade Loyalty
In March 2018, Consumer Intelligence Research Partners (CIRP) released data showing 86% of users with an iOS mobile operating platform remained loyal, using a sample size of 500 individuals.
- 2019’s trade-in savvy iPhones owners are -15.2% less faithful than CIRP’s 2018 survey.
- iPhone brand retention the lowest it has been since 2011, compared to various studies.
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What was interesting when benchmarking this data against ours, was the considerably lower -15.2% of trade-in savvy iPhone uses remained loyal in 2019, this data tied in well with the report of sales declining 17%. In addition, our online audience 62.4% millennials with a 60/40 gender split in favor of females, which may differ from CIRP; however, they did not mention demographics in their release.
Monthly iPhone Trade-in Loyalty (2018 - 2019)
Below we see the monthly brand retention of people trading in their iPhones over 9 months. This shows low retention during following the XS / XS Max / XR release, followed by a boost during Q1 and Q2 (typically Apple’s highest quarterly revenue periods since 2007). We also see Apple’s brand retention at iPhone trade-in drop down into the 60-70% band. The vast majority of this decline was due to people selling iPhones while using a new Samsung device.
38,043 Individuals – iPhone trade-in / valuation data from 10/2018 – 06/2019:
- On average, 70.8% of iOS user’s remained with Apple during an iPhone trade-in from Q4’18 to Q2’19.
- In June 2019, 18.08% of people trading in iPhones had a Samsung device, the highest figure recorded in our study.
- On average, 12.4% of iPhone users jumped ship to Samsung, and 6.4% to LG smartphones from Q4’18 to Q2’19.
- 14.9% went to other manufacturers, while 1.9% didn’t know what brand their phone during Q4’18 to Q2’19.
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Quarterly iPhone Trade-in Loyalty (Q4 2018 – Q2 2019)
Below we see the quarterly brand retention trend of people trading in their iPhones (Q4’18 – Q2‘19). This chart shows the gains and losses of iPhone users to other brands, grouping each manufacturer to visually observe quarterly movements.
38,043 Individuals – iPhone trade-in / valuation data from Q4 2018 – Q2 2019:
- Only 66.4% of iOS users trading in were loyal during Q4 of 2018 following the release of the XS XR range.
- 24.5% of individuals trading in iPhones during Q4 2018 had moved to a new brand; Samsung (13.8%), LG (8.2%) or Motorola (2.5%)
- The highest recorded brand retention was 73.5% in Q1 2019, taking 5.7% back from lost users to Samsung and LG
- In Q2 2019, Samsung was the only brand to sway iPhone users, taking back 2.2%, leaving 72.5% staying with Apple after trade-in.
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iPhone X Upgrade Loyalty Compared to Galaxy S9 (2019)
Below we have a comparison of the iPhone X and Galaxy S9 brand retention. These device-specific samples show that fewer Samsung users were changing to iOS, compared to double the percentage of iPhone users going to Samsung.
2,427 Individuals – iPhone X VS Galaxy S9 trade-in loyalty 01/2019 – 06/2019:
- 26.2% of individuals trading in their iPhone X moved to another OS, e.g. Android/RIM/Windows
- Only 7.7% of Galaxy S9 users switched to an iPhone, leaving 92.3% on Android/RIM/Windows
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Best vs. Worst iPhone Upgrade Loyalty by Device (2019)
Below we show each end of the retention scale as user’s trade-in iPhones on a device specific level. The overarching storyline here is where almost 1 in 5 individuals trading in the iPhone XS had a Samsung device (compared to an iPhone 8 where less than 1 in 10 had.)
12,105 Individuals – iPhone trade-in / valuation by device from 01/2019 – 06/2019:
- Individuals trading in their iPhone 7 Plus owners were the most loyal, with 81.7% of respondents sticking with Apple.
- Only 57.1% of iPhone 5 owners have an iPhone as their current device.
- Last year’s iPhone XS was in the lowest devices for Apple loyalty, with 65.3% of users currently using an Apple device.
- 18.5% of people selling an iPhone XS had moved to Samsung – the most significant Apple to Samsung brand switch out of 16 phones
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All iPhone Brand Loyalty Data by Phone
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Methodology
BankMyCell’s report is based on the collection of brand, device and operating system data for marketing material, with the goal knowing the next device a consumer has to offer trade-in prices at various stages of the upgrade cycle.
This sizable dataset gave us a unique insight into consumer upgrade patterns within the trade-in market.
This iPhone trade-in report collected the following datasets:
- 38,043 unique Apple iPhone users
- 26,724 unique iPhone users where the model was defined
- In the case of the Galaxy S9 comparison, 468 unique users
- Our online audience 62.4% millennials / 37.6% were 36-65
- 60.7% female / 39.3% male gender split